Assam election: BJP set to return to power in the north-eastern state, inching ahead of the Grand alliance

Assam-Election

As per the data available on the website of Election Commission of India, the ruling regime in Assam, led by BJP is surging ahead of the Grand Alliance spearheaded by the Congress, and is inching closer to another victory. Chief Minister Sarbananda Sonowal exuded confidence that the saffron party-led alliance will retain power in the state. Assam has a 126-member assembly and 64 seats are needed for a simple majority.

Also ReadAssam election: Will ask for your vote, then you need to prove your citizenship

The ruling regime of NDA led by BJP in Assam has won 48 seats and is leading in 24 assembly seats, while the Grand Alliance led by the Congress has won 24 seats and is leading in 27 seats.

Counting of votes for the Assam assembly elections began at 8 am on Sunday amid strict health protocols, as it is taking place amid a raging second wave of Covid-19. At the 331 counting halls across the state that voted in three phases on March 27, April 1, and April 6, a three-tier security apparatus has also been arranged.

Union Minister Jitendra Singh on Sunday said that the Assam  assembly election has broken the “jinx” that minorities do not vote for the saffron party as it has received huge support in the Muslim dominated areas and constituencies.

 

Kerala election: LDF to return to power-UDF to continue as opposition & BJP draws a blank

Kerala election

The CPM-led LDF is set to defy the trend of incumbent governments not getting re-elected in the last four decades in Kerala. Under the leadership of Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan, the LDF is expected to finish between 95 and 100 seats, eclipsing its 2016 tally of 91 seats.

‘Metroman’ E Sreedharan of the BJP, on whom the saffron camp had placed huge stakes, lost to Congress’ Shafi Parambil by a margin of 3,859 votes in Palakkad. It shows the clear choices made by Kerala voters with regards to the image of the party with which a candidate is associated.

The UDF led by Congress, which had seen a glimpse of the mood of the voters during the local body elections last year, will once again have to play the role of the opposition in the next five years. It is expected to get somewhere between 40 and 45 seats.

BJP, which had opened its account in the state last time with one seat and had expected to win at least half a dozen seats, is staring at a drought. It is set to draw a blank. Senior leaders like Kummanam Rajasekharan, K Surendran, Sobha Surendran, and E Sreedharan were all trailing in their respective seats.

LDF’s victory marks the first time since the 1980s that an incumbent political combination has returned to power in Kerala. In doing so, the LDF has surpassed its earlier tally of 91 in the 140-member Assembly.

Strong and decisive leadership by Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan during the crises, floods, and pandemic, that had battered the state during the past few years contrasted sharply with the Congress-led UDF regime. Minorities, especially Muslims, saw Vijayan and the LDF as a bulwark against the emergence of the BJP in the state. Kerala Health Minister K K Shailaja wins by a record margin of 60,963 votes from Mattannur. Her work during the pandemic and other crises in Kerala has substantially helped the LDF sail into its second term, which is once in a lifetime event in Kerala politics.

Film actor Dulquer Salmaan congratulated Kerala CM Pinarayi Vijayan on winning the State Assembly elections. Dulquer Salmaan posted on Facebook, “The past few weeks have been bleak to say the least. Everyday the news has been difficult to come to terms with. Amidst all of that today brought joy. Hearty congratulations to Hon. Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan and his team for their historic win. You have shown exemplary leadership during some of the toughest times Kerala has faced and we look forward to a brighter future ahead.”

Former Union minister and BJP leader K J Alphons loses from Kanjirappally. Kerala Devaswom Minister Kadakampally Surendran wins from Kazhakootam by a margin of 23,497 votes. Congress leader Ramesh Chennithala wins by a margin of 13,666 votes from Haripad.

Rajasthan by-polls: BJP wins Rajsamand assembly seat- Congress leads in Sahada and Sujangarh

Rajasthan polls

According to Election Commission figures, Deepti Maheshwari of BJP has won the bypolls to the Rajsamand assembly seat, while the Indian National Congress is leading in the by-elections to the Sahada and Sujangarh constituencies in Rajasthan. Over 60.37 percent voters had exercised their franchise in the April 17 by-elections to the Rajsamand, Sujangarh and Sahada assembly seats.

Maheshwari defeated Tansukh Bohara from the Congress by 5,310 votes, according to the commission. It said that in the Sahada and the Sujangarh seats, Congress candidates Gayatri Devi and Manoj Kumar are leading by 19,985 and 16,104 votes.

The ECI said that Sitaram Nayak of the Rashtriya Loktantrik Party and Ratanlal Jat of the BJP are in second and third position, respectively, in Sahada.
The figure stated that Kumar is leading over his nearest rival and BJP candidate Khemaram in Sujangarh.

In total, 60.37 percent voters had exercised their franchise in the by-elections held on April 17 for the Rajsamand, Sujangarh and Sahada assembly seats of the state.

Vote counting-Mamata Banerjee takes lead over Adhikari in Nandigram

Bengal election

Mamata Banerjee has taken a lead over Suvendu Adhikari in the crucial seat of Nandigram, by 1500 seats; showing that her magic in West Bengal is still prevalent. On an overall scale, TMC is having a lead on 207 seats. Over this development, TMC leader Madan Mitra commented that Mamata Didi has defeated BJP, which is identified as a ‘420 organization’ by the people in Bengal who have rejected communal politics based on religious identities.

Vote counting has begun for the recently concluded elections in Assam, Kerala, Puducherry, Tamil Nadu and West Bengal for a total of 822 assembly seats.

The elections had begun on March 27 and concluded on April 29, with West Bengal witnessing the highest number of phases being slated for it.

While various exit polls have predicted a win for LDF in Kerala, victory for BJP in Assam, & landslide victory for DMK in Tamil Nadu, the polls have indicated at a close fight between TMC and BJP in West Bengal. Six out of nine exit polls have predicted a victory for TMC ensuring a third term for Mamata Banerjee as the Chief Minister. The current status of vote counting is showing a return of TMC by a landslide victory, cementing a strong position of Mamata Banerjee on the national political scene.

Sixth phase of election in West Bengal-17.25% turnout till 11 am-306 candidates in fray

Phase-6 Bengal

Today is the day of the sixth phase of the West Bengal polls. Over 1 crore voters in West Bengal will decide today the political fate of 306 candidates, when 43 Assembly constituencies are into the polls in the sixth phase, amid a raging second wave of Covid-19. West Bengal election has been a high-pitched personal battle for leaders in Trinamool Congress & BJP, with volleys of accusations and counter-accusations being exchanged between the parties.

Also see: Trilateral fight in West Bengal election 2021

In terms of voter turnout, about 17.25 percent of voters exercised their franchise till 11 am, where polling is underway in 43 seats.

In today’s fray, heavyweights such as Bharatiya Janata Party’s national vice-president Mukul Roy, Trinamool Congress ministers Jyotipriyo Mallick and Chandrima Bhattacharya, and CPI(M) leader Tanmay Bhattacharya are contesting. Also among other prominent names in the sixth-phase are those of film director Raj Chakraborty and actor Koushani Mukherjee, who are TMC’s candidates from the Barrackpore and the Krishnanagar North constituencies respectively.

Also See: West Bengal 2021: Battleground for BJP and TMC

In the context of the Covid19 surge during election season, GopalKrishna Gandhi, the former Governor of West Bengal said that the surge in virus in West Bengal that has coincided with the on-going Assembly elections has jeopardized “the health of the electors, the election staff, and security personnel on duty simultaneously and staggeringly”.

Also See: Would West Bengal election really be a three-way fight after the defections?

In his letter to election commission of India, he said that the electoral democracy and public health should not be “out of harmony”.

Also See: New mutants of Coronavirus

Mr. Gandhi wrote in his letter to the CEC, “Please consider placing an immediate ban on all public rallies and door-to-door campaigning in the State till the last vote has been cast on April 29. And direct them to move to virtual campaigning. It should not be said that India’s electoral democracy and India’s public health are out of harmony.”

Sitakulchi firing-Facts on the ground do not add up with the claims by the central forces

Bengal election

West Bengal election 2021 has shown its fair share of violence between the party-workers of TMC and BJP. But, on April 10, it spilled between the people who came to vote and the central forces.

The state’s Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee spoke at a press conference in Siliguri today. At the conference, Ms. Banerjee asserted that the killing of the villagers by the central forces was nothing but genocide. She added, “They fired by targeting chest. If their intention was to disperse mob, they may fire on leg, but they targeted chest. They are CISF. They have no experience to control mob.”

Union home minister, Amit Shah, who is attending rallies across West Bengal on Sunday stated, “Mamata’s advice to gherao central forces instigated people to attack CISF personnel.” He is scheduled to attend rallies & roadshow in Basirhat Dakshin & Panihati.

Also See: Would West Bengal election really be a three-way fight after the defections?

Belligerence of Mamata Banerjee hurling genocide comment towards centre is not an ungrounded behaviour. The West Bengal CM may be highly vocal & belligerent right now, as the election season is on, but there is something worth underscoring with regards to the shootout in Sitalkuchi. The firing at the people in the polling station at Sitalkuchi should be taken as a foretelling of what can be expected in the state if the saffron camp manages to breach the victory-mark. The CISF claimed that the crowds surrounded them which forced them to open fire. But, the ground reality does not account for it, even after taking into calculation the disparate angles. The facts simply do not corroborate it.

Also Read: Dark-Side of BJP- A friend in foreign soil- Access to an oversight-immune path of funneling money-Election-Season

People from various places, like Burdwan, Bandel, Hooghly, Alipurduar, Siliguri, Jalpaiguri, Maldah, Birbhum, Kolkata, and its suburban areas have disclosed to the Media outlet that goons, hired by BJP are effectively carrying out the campaigning and flag-marches for the BJP leaders. (A common condition of all the sources for disclosing their observations is anonymity.)  Apart from that, it has also been observed that BJP has been hiring the former workers from Left-front, and TMC in the state in places where the party hopes to make some gains in the assembly election. It has been a case in Nandigram, the main battleground between BJP &TMC, where BJP has put people (from the once politically relevant Harmad bahini) with criminal records and with known cases of atrocities on farmers, on its payroll.

Hiring of goons by political parties is not new in Indian political scenario, especially in the make-or-break condition in the West Bengal election. But, there is something unique in the firing carried out by the central forces, which hints at intentional targeting of the minority groups.

Also see: Trilateral fight in West Bengal election 2021

The region of Sitalkuchi is a place with a majority population of Muslims, which is an electoral trouble for BJP, to put it in sober terms. In the polling station in Sitalkuchi with Muslim-majority, there were reports of a boy Mrinal/Minal Haque being shot at by the central forces. The boy hailed from the Jorpatki village in the region. That was followed by the local people assembling around the polling stations in protest of the firing. Then four more people were shot at. They were Hamidul Milan (31), Monirujjaman Mian (28), Samiul Haq (18) and Noor Alam Mian (20). This is not a normal pattern for the central forces when responding to political violence in West Bengal. Disturbances in other regions with Hindu majority never led to firing by the security forces. The firings have led to the cancellation of the election in the region and a highly possible and deliberate implanting of fear in the mind of voters from the Minority community.

Confusion over the trigger of the shootout

Regarding the trigger-moment of the shootout, central security forces and the villagers have completely different scenarios to tell.  The central forces stated that near polling booth number 126, a boy fell unconscious on the ground and started frothing at the mouth, which triggered the chaos. Villagers alleged that the boy was killed by the central forces when they were escorting 50-60 men (BJP voters) led by some BJP men towards the polling booth. On top of it, there was also confusion about another incident where a first-time voter was shot dead by two miscreants riding a bike near polling booth number 285. The shootout which killed the four people named earlier had taken place near polling booth number 126 and is unrelated to the incident near polling booth number 285.

It remains clear whatever the trigger was, the central forces had indeed shot down four people from a minority community.

Also See: West Bengal 2021: Battleground for BJP and TMC

In 2019, the doubts of the opposition parties were bolstered by a report that stated that 19 lakh polling machines- EVMs are missing. The report came in response to PILs and RTI applications asking for information on the “vulnerability” and “unreliability” of EVMs.

This raises questions about whether central forces are under influence from the central government led by BJP to use a hammering attitude towards the minority voters to impact voting. That leads to further doubts over the claims by the security forces and the Election Commission of India of being impartial. It should be noted that the violence by the central forces in Sitalkuchi has been used by the ECI to draw 71 more companies of central forces into the state.

All these along with the report suggesting the huge number (19 lakh) of EVMs missing, lend a strong credence to the concerns raised by Mamata Banerjee regarding the Election Commission and the central forces being in cahoots with BJP to manipulate the election in Bengal.

Election in West Bengal is scheduled to be held in 8 phases from March 27 to April, 29, with four phases remaining, and the vote counting will take place on May, 02.

For the fourth-phase of Bengal election overall voter turnout stands at 76.16%

Phase-4 details

The overall voter turnout of the fourth phase of the West Bengal election was at 76.16 % as of 6pm.  The state’s Chief electoral officer has asked for a detailed report on today’s violence in Cooch Behar from the district officials.

Also see: Trilateral fight in West Bengal election 2021

When the fourth-phase election underwent through violence in North Bengal where people got killed due to firing by the central forces and in Bandel where the vehicle of a candidate was attacked, 71 more companies of CAPF forces are being brought into the state. The MHA was ordered by the Election Commission of India to direct the central forces into the state. The new 71 companies of the central forces are drawn from the BSF (33), ITBP (13), CRPF (12), SSB (9) and CISF (4).

Also See: Would West Bengal election really be a three-way fight after the defections?

Meanwhile, Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee accused BJP of making false promises to the Matuas. Ms. Banerjee added that no one needs to give Matuas citizenship as they are already citizens and have been given the corresponding rights. Escalating her accusation, Mamata stated that BJP, if voted to power, would put the people of West Bengal into detention camps, just like it was done in Assam.

Also See: West Bengal 2021: Battleground for BJP and TMC

The first four phases of West Bengal election are over. The fifth phase of the election will be on April 17 for 45 seats, the sixth for 43 seats will be on April 22, seventh phase on April 26 for 36 seats and last and eighth phase would be on April 29 for 35 seats.

The results of the election will be declared after vote counting on May 02.

Voter Turnout at 16.65% till 11 am-car of BJP-candidate from Chinsurah-Locket Chatterjee attacked

Phase-4 election update

Voting for the fourth-phase of the West Bengal election is being held today. As per the data released by the Election Commission of India, the voter-turnout in the fourth-phase election touched 16.65% till 11 am. Alipurduar district recorded the highest voter-turnout at 17.98% till 9:30 am.

Also See: Would West Bengal election really be a three-way fight after the defections?

To ensure security and carrying out the of election in a peaceful manner, ITBP personnel have been deployed in Hooghly.

At Bandel in Hooghly, the car of BJP candidate from Chinsurah-Locket Chatterjee was attacked by some people at polling booth number 66. In other places in Hooghly like Serampore  & Sheoraphuli, polling is underway in a peaceful manner.

Also see: Trilateral fight in West Bengal election 2021

The fate of 373 candidates would be decided in this phase by a total of 1,15,81,022 voters. West Bengal ministers Partha Chatterjee & Arup Biswas, Union Minister Babul Supriyo, Locket Chatterjee, and Payel Sarkar are among the prominent candidates who are in the contest in the fourth-phase.

Also See: West Bengal 2021: Battleground for BJP and TMC

The turncoat leader from TMC, who is currently in BJP, Rajeeb Banerjee is contesting from Domjur. The election is being held for a total of 44 seats in Cooch Behar, Alipurduar in North Bengal, parts of South 24 Paraganas, Howrah & Hooghly in South Bengal.

Also See: What are the problem areas of TMC and the chances of BJP in this election season in West Bengal

Vote counting for the West Bengal assembly election will be held along with those for Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam, and Puducherry on May 02.

Second Notice issued to Mamata Banerjee by election commission of India over comments on security forces

A second notice in as many days has been issued to West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee by the Election Commission of India. The notice asked her to explain her comments on the central security forces, which had violated the model code of conduct.

Also See: West Bengal 2021: Battleground for BJP and TMC

The first-three of the total eight phases of West Bengal’s assembly elections are now over and the electorate in 91 constituencies have already cast their votes. A total of 44 seats will go to polls on April 10 for the fourth phase.

Also See: What are the problem areas of TMC and the chances of BJP in this election season in West Bengal

The Trinamool Congress supremo had allegedly asked people to “gherao” central security forces at an election rally. The forces have been deployed by the poll panel in the state to ensure free and fair elections, with serious allegations and complaints levelled against them including that of sexual assault. The fourth of the eight phases of polling in the state will be held on April 10.

Also see: Trilateral fight in West Bengal election 2021

The CM has been asked by the Election Commission to send her reply by 11 am on April 10.

Speeches made by the West Bengal Chief Minister on March 28 and April 7 were cited by the Election Commission of India.

Also See: Would West Bengal election really be a three-way fight after the defections?

The earlier notice was sent to Mamata regarding her comment over split in Muslim vote.

In this regard, it is also worthwhile to note that a complaint was submitted to the Election commission by Derek O’Brien regarding a sexual assault carried out on a minor girl by a CRPF jawan in Tarakeshwar, on which the ECI has still not responded to.

Vote counting for the West Bengal assembly election will be held along with those for Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam, and Puducherry on May 02.

EVM in car of a BJP leader-video released few hours after April 01 polls in Assam

On April 1, hours after polling in the second phase of the Assam Legislative Assembly election concluded, a video surfaced on social media. The video allegedly showed electronic voting machines (EVMs) in a car linked to Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)’s Patharkandi candidate Krishnendu Paul.

Assam-based journalist Atanu Bhuyan posted the video on social media platform Twitter. Bhuyan also said that the situation in the Patharkandi Vidhan Sabha constituency was “tense” following the incident.

If the allegation is true, then the anxiety of retaining Assam and paranoia and desperation of making inroads into West Bengal is leading BJP to allow its members to roam around with EVMs in cars.

Opposition leaders, including senior Congress leader Priyanka Gandhi Vadra who has been campaigning in Assam and Member of Parliament Gaurav Gogoi, targeted the BJP over the incident.

Priyanka Gandhi Vadra, through a tweet asked the Election Commission of India to act decisively in the matter and said that a “serious re-evaluation” of EVM use needs to be carried out by all national parties.

Gogoi, the Deputy Leader of the Congress in Lok Sabha and son of former Assam chief minister late Tarun Gogoi, claimed on Twitter that “looting EVMs” is the “only way the BJP can win” the election.

Gogoi further added in the tweet, “EVM capturing, like there used to be booth capturing. All under the nose of the Election Commission. Sad day for democracy (sic).”

Also Read: Assam election: Will ask for your vote, then you need to prove your citizenship

In a tweet, Congress’ National Spokesperson Sushmita Dev said, “EVMs being transported in the candidates car is criminal and the @ECISVEEP must take the strictest action. The candidate must be disqualified and all officers concerned should be investigated. The BJPs fears of losing should not jeopardize the democratic process.”

The widely popular Sushmita Dev, who is the daughter of seven-time parliamentarian Santosh Mohan Dev is considered the face of the Congress in Assam’s largely Bengali-speaking Barak Valley, which went to polls on April 01. She was believed to have  walked out of a party meeting in Guwahati unhappy over selection of candidates and seat-sharing with Badruddin Ajmal’s AIUDF, which the Congress has partnered with in this election. Currently president of the All India Mahila Congress, Dev represented Silchar seat in Barak till she was defeated by the BJP’s Rajdeep Roy in the 2019 general elections.